Why Putin Has Been Waging War for Years Without Declaring It: The Huge Consequences Behind the Words
For years, Russian President Vladimir Putin has been waging war in Ukraine, but he refuses to call it by its real name. Instead, he insists on calling it a “special military operation.” Why? Because officially declaring war would bring huge consequences that Putin clearly wants to avoid.
What’s Behind Avoiding the Word “War”?
Since the invasion began in February 2022, Russia has avoided admitting it is at war. Despite millions of casualties, massive protests, and the destruction of Ukrainian cities, the Kremlin sticks to euphemisms. Why? Because declaring war would mean a full transition to wartime status, including general mobilization of the population and redirecting the economy towards war production.
Mobilization and Political Risks
Partial mobilization in September 2022 sparked mass protests across Russia. Putin clearly saw that full mobilization could lead to serious political problems and loss of control. So he keeps his distance from that step, even though the war is already total.
Russian Economy and War Mode
Although Russia doesn’t use the word “war,” its economy and industry operate as if the war is in full swing. It is estimated that Russia spends about 6.3% of its GDP on defense, far more than during the Cold War. For comparison, Ukraine spent 34% of its GDP on defense last year, and the UK spent over 50% during World War II.
Weapons Production at Full Capacity
Russia’s defense industry runs three shifts producing drones, missiles, and armored vehicles. Ballistic missile production has increased by at least 66% in the past year. However, weapon stockpiles are rapidly depleting, and further escalation is limited mainly to increasing manpower.
Why Putin Avoids General Mobilization?
From the start of the invasion, Putin has avoided general mobilization because he knows it would cause public dissatisfaction and political instability. Instead, the state tries to motivate volunteers with cash bonuses, a short-term solution that is not sustainable.
International Consequences of Declaring War
Declaring war would also have international consequences. Russia would lose the ability to portray the conflict as a “special military operation,” escalating the conflict. It would also change the message Russia sends to NATO and the world, which Putin clearly wants to avoid.
Conclusion
Putin is waging a total war but is afraid to admit it. He balances between military reality and political risks while millions suffer the consequences. Will he ever dare to declare war? If he does, the consequences will be huge and far-reaching, not only for Russia but for the entire world.
What do you think? Is Putin pulling the strings or just afraid to face the truth? Drop a comment and let the people’s voice be heard!
